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Weekly Market Triggers — for the upcoming week (29th June to 03rd July 2026)
Research Desk27 June 20262 min read
Nifty +0.18% up, Sensex +0.39% higher, for the week ending 26-Jun. Gains in frontline indices were marginal due to the uncertainty in the Middle East being a major headwind. Mid-cap index -1.15% lower;…
Triggers for the Week and How They May Impact Markets
| Trigger for the Week | How will it impact? |
|---|---|
| Nifty +0.18% up, Sensex +0.39% higher, for the week ending 26-Jun | Gains in frontline indices were marginal due to the uncertainty in the Middle East being a major headwind |
| Mid-cap index -1.15% lower; small cap index +0.03% up this week | While mid-caps came under pressure due to the AI impact, small caps were flat and this trend could persist |
| Key Dividend record dates (RD) occurring in the coming week | Bajaj Finance, Bajaj Finserv, Kansai Nerolac, M&M, DCM Shriram, Shriram Finance, TECHM, Biocon, Bharat Forge |
| RBI allowing leverage on FCNR(B) deposits to be a positive next week | Most of the banks have already set multi-billion-dollar targets for FCNR(B) collections, and leverage will help |
| Commodities will be in focus this week after the sharp fall last week | While Brent crude has fallen 40% from crisis highs, gold has lost 30% since January and silver 52% from the peak |
| FPIs sell $5.5 billion in equities, but infuse $5.0 billion into Indian debt | The debt buying by FPIs was led by wider FAR inclusion as well as LTCG Tax and interest tax exemption for FPIs |
| MOSPI to publish India IIP growth for the month of May 2026 | The IIP growth is expected to taper from 4.1% in April due to lower core sector, with pressure from mining |
| CGA to put out the May 2026 update for fiscal deficit for FY27 | With fiscal deficit touching 21.4% of full year target in April itself, pressure for holding 4.3% target will build up |
| Two Mainboard IPOs to open and 4 IPOs to list on bourses next week | Aastha Spintex and Knack Packaging to raise ₹626 crore; listings include Turtlemint, Waterways, Advit, CSM Tech |
| US unemployment data for June to be announced in first week of July | The rate of unemployment is expected to remain static at 4.3%, but focus will be on non-farm payroll additions |
| Indian IT sector in focus as global AI and chip sell-off gathers steam | Global chip and AI stocks corrected sharply last week, with Korean stocks falling by as much as 16% last week |
| Nifty S/R at (23,976/24,199); Sensex S/R (76,795/77,605) for next week | Crucial levels for change in Short View will be 24,204 for Nifty and 77,513 for Sensex; with Longs only above that |
| Key data points from US markets to be keenly watched next week | Fed Speak, HPI, API Crude Stocks, Atlanta Fed GDP, Jobless Claims, Factory Orders, Vehicle Sales, JOLTS |
| Key data points from ROW markets to be keenly watched next week | Lagarde Speak, PMI, CPI, (EU); Capex, PMI (JP); MPC Speak, GDP, Current Account (UK); Composite PMI (CN) |
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