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Weekly Market Triggers — for the upcoming week (14th Sep - 18th Sep, 2026)
Research Desk12 September 20262 min read
Nifty -2.09% down, Sensex -2.27% lower, for the week ending 11-SepA mix of rising US-Iran tensions and crude at above $105/bbl will sustain pressure on generic indices. Mid-cap index -1.40% lower;…
Triggers for the Week and How They May Impact Markets
| Trigger for the Week | How will it impact? |
|---|---|
| Nifty -2.09% down, Sensex -2.27% lower, for the week ending 11-Sep | A mix of rising US-Iran tensions and crude at above $105/bbl will sustain pressure on generic indices |
| Mid-cap index -1.40% lower; small cap index -0.94% down this week | While macro risks were lower, even the smaller stock indices came under pressure during the latest week |
| Key Dividend record dates (RD) occurring in the coming week | Blue Dart, Aarti Pharma, J Kumar, KNR, Solex Energy, HINDCOPPER, Vinati, Vijaya Diagnostics, RCF, 63 Moons |
| Focus shifts to RBI liquidity handling as full dollar sweep completed | After soaking ₹6 trillion of liquidity last week, one more bout of soaking may be required in the coming week |
| USDINR will be in focus as the RBI swap window for FCNR(B) closes | USDINR weakened to ₹95.59/$ on higher crude prices and FPI outflows, a trend that could sustain next week |
| Brent Crude closes the week at $104.61/bbl on rising Gulf unrest | Crude had touched $110/bbl intraday, but the supply scare is starting to drive oil prices sharply higher |
| India to announce CPI and WPI inflation during the coming week | While CPI inflation is expected to surge to 4.8%-4.9% for August, WPI inflation is likely to edge up to 9.9% |
| DGFT to announce trade deficit data for August in coming week | While trade deficit is expected to widen from $31.9 billion in July, big focus will be on services surplus offset |
| Fed policy statement for September FOMC to be announced on 16-Sep | While rate hikes are still doubtful; after Jackson Hole, there is an outside chance of a 25-bps rate hike by FOMC |
| Fed will also present the updated macro projections for next 3 years | Markets will watch for triggers on future GDP growth, jobs, core inflation, PCE inflation and rates trajectory |
| Eleven IPOs to list; and 5 IPOs to raise over ₹24,329 crore next week | Hero Motors (₹1000 cr), Jindal Supreme (₹125 cr), SS Retail (₹500 cr), Sonaselect (₹142 cr), NSE (₹22,562 cr) |
| Nifty S/R at (23,270/23,487); Sensex S/R (74,322/75,079) for next week | Crucial levels for change in Short View will be 23,515 for Nifty and 75,152 for Sensex; with longs only above that |
| Key data points from US markets to be keenly watched next week # | Redbook, API Crude Stocks, Gasoline output, retail sales, building permits, housing starts, jobless claims, IIP |
| Key data points from ROW markets to be keenly watched next week # | Trade, IIP, CPI, Wages (EU); IIP, Trade, BOJMPS (JP); AEI, Jobs, CPI, BOE Rate Decision (UK); Jobs, IIP, FAI (CN) |
Abbreviations
BOJMPS – Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Statement · AEI – Average Earnings Index · FAI – Fixed Asset Investments
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