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Weekly Market Triggers — for the upcoming week 01st Jun to 05th Jun 2026
Research Desk30 May 20262 min read
Nifty -0.72% down, Sensex -0.85% lower, for the week ending 29-May. The positive trend in Nifty and Sensex was spoilt by the MCSI EM index selling, but may not persist next week. Mid-cap index +0.54%…
Triggers for the Week and How They May Impact Markets
| Trigger for the Week | How will it impact? |
|---|---|
| Nifty -0.72% down, Sensex -0.85% lower, for the week ending 29-May | The positive trend in Nifty and Sensex was spoilt by the MCSI EM index selling, but may not persist next week |
| Mid-cap index +0.54% higher; small cap index +1.02% up this week | The smaller stocks rallied sharply during the week as investors continue to selectively hunt for alpha |
| Key Dividend record dates (RD) occurring in the coming week | Colgate, Ashok Leyland, Navneet, Rallis India, Reliance, BOB, HDFC AMC, Cipla, JSW Energy, ICICI Pru Life, Epigral |
| Last Round Q4 and FY26 results to be announced during this week | Linde India, Patanjali, Gujarat Gas, PTC Industries, Indo Count, FIEM, Rajesh Exports, UFLEX, Jai Corp, TTK Health |
| Trump’s final decision on the Iran ceasefire expected this week | There are indications that the US may withdraw the Iran blockade, and Iran may fully open up Straits of Hormuz |
| Federal fiscal deficit for FY26 likely to be under 4.4% of GDP | While the announcement will be on Monday, signals are that lower spending kept fiscal deficit at 4.4% of GDP |
| IIP for April expected to come in around 30 bps lower than March | Manufacturing output with 77.6% weightage likely to taper from 4.3% as headline IIP likely to taper to 3.8% |
| RBI Monetary Policy Committee to announce credit policy on Friday | Markets are not sure of rate hike; but expect some guidance on rate hikes due to persistent inflation |
| MOSPI to announce Q4 and FY26 GDP growth on Friday 05-June | After a robust 7.8% GDP growth in Q3, the real GDP growth could be hit hard by sharply higher inflation |
| Ahead of the next Fed meet on 17-Jun, key speeches to be in focus | Fed speakers next week; Jerome Powell, Chris Waller, Neil Kashkari, Mary Daly, Lorie Logan, and Michael Barr |
| Brent Crude and USDINR to stay in focus in the coming week too | A sharp fall in Brent to $91.12/bbl, combined with RBI dollar selling helped rupee strengthen to ₹95.01/$ level |
| Nifty S/R at (23,354/23,872); Sensex S/R (74,170/75,801) for next week | Crucial levels for change in Short View will be 24,040 for Nifty and 76,393 for Sensex; with Longs only above that |
| Key data points from US markets to be keenly watched next week | PMI, Atlanta Fed GDP, JOLTS, Factory Orders, Non-Farm Payrolls, Beige Book, Vehicle Sales, Initial Jobless Claims |
| Key data points from ROW markets to be keenly watched next week | M3, PMI, Jobs, CPI (EU); Construction Orders, Capex, Household Spends (JP); HPI, M3, PMI (UK); PMI (CN) |
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