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Weekly Market Triggers — for the upcoming week (15th July to 19th July 2026)
Research Desk13 June 20262 min read
Nifty +1.10% up, Sensex +1.73% higher, for the week ending 12-Jun. The market rally was driven by hopes of US-Iran truce as well as sharply lower prices of crude oil under $88/bbl. Mid-cap index +0.02%…
Triggers for the Week and How They May Impact Markets
| Trigger for the Week | How will it impact? |
|---|---|
| Nifty +1.10% up, Sensex +1.73% higher, for the week ending 12-Jun | The market rally was driven by hopes of US-Iran truce as well as sharply lower prices of crude oil under $88/bbl |
| Mid-cap index +0.02% higher; small cap index +0.48% up this week | Smaller stock indices were relatively subdued for the week and that trend is likely to be carried forward |
| Key Dividend record dates (RD) occurring in the coming week | HDB Financial, Tata Tech, RR Kabel, GHCL, HDFC Bank, HDFC Life, TMPV, Polycab, TCOM, Indiamart, AWL Agri |
| Rupee value will focus on US-Iran deal, as it gets closer to reality | Despite the prospects of the US-Iran deal, the USDINR has been under pressure at ₹95/$, with stress to stay |
| Markets will be closely watching for progress on the FCNR(B) front | With higher rates and risk covered, a sharp spike in FCNR(B) flows could help to stabilize the Indian rupee |
| FPIs sell equities worth $2.10 billion in the second week of June 2026 | FPIs have already sold $6.6 billion in first 2 weeks of June and it could inch closer to the March FPI selling number |
| India WPI inflation to be announced by DIPP on Monday 15-June | In line with supply chain constraints, the WPI inflation is expected to spike further from 8.3% to 9.1% for May-26 |
| Merchandise trade balance expected to be flat for May 2026 | The trade data is expected to report goods trade deficit of $27-28 billion; but service exports will hold the key |
| RBI to publish the minutes of the June MPC meeting on Friday | Markets will scan for any hawkish signals in the RBI MPC Minutes, amid a sharp spike in WPI and CPI inflation |
| Fed interest rate announcement and quarterly projections this week | While Fed is expected to hold rates at 3.50%-3.75%, focus will be on macro projections for rate trajectory |
| Brent Crude will be in focus amid the Demand – Supply standoff | With Brent Crude at $87.33/bbl, the focus shifts from the US-Iran peace deal, to Chinese demand for oil |
| Nifty S/R at (23,409/23,741); Sensex S/R (74,785/75,940) for next week | Crucial levels for change in Long View will be 23,183 for Nifty and 74,036 for Sensex; with Shorts only below that |
| Key data points from US markets to be keenly watched next week | IIP, Building Permits, Housing Starts, API Crude Stocks, Retail Sales, Jobless Claims, Fed Balance Sheet, IEA Note |
| Key data points from ROW markets to be keenly watched next week | IIP, Trade, CPI, ECB Speak (EU); BOJ Policy, Trade, CPI (JP); CPI, PPI, Jobs, MPC Vote (UK); IIP, Fixed Assets (CN) |
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