Stock Market Outlook Next Week: Nifty, Crude, FPI & Rupee Trends

Research Desk22 March 20262 min read

Weekly stock market outlook: Nifty levels, crude oil surge, FPI selling, rupee fall, IPOs, and key global triggers impacting Indian markets next week.

Weekly Capsule (Mar 23 – Mar 27) and its Impact

Trigger for the Week	How will it impact?
Nifty -0.16% down, Sensex -0.04% lower, for the week ending 20-Mar	While this week was not so bad, the geopolitical risks will continue to weigh on frontliners next week too
Mid-cap index +0.17% higher; small cap index -1.11% down this week	Mid-caps managed to hold out, but macro pressures on the smaller stocks are likely to remain elevated
Key Dividend record dates likely to fall in the coming week	Power Finance Corp, Castrol, India Glycols, Guj Intrux, Vedanta, Motherson, and Angel One (Dividend RD);
Key Bonus / Split / Rights record dates falling in the coming week	Kilitch Drugs, V2 Retail, Manbro, Avax Apparels (Bonus & Split RD); TIL, Sunrest, Regal Entertainment (Rights RD)
Oil & gas supply chains will be in focus in the coming week for India	India is procuring oil & gas from the US, Argentina, Saudi Arabia Red Sea port, Russia etc to diversify its supply
Brent Crude prices will continue to be in focus amidst West Asia war	Brent Crude at $112.20/bbl is 59% up in the last 30 days and 87% up in the last 75 days due to the US-Iran war
FPI selling in Indian equities at a huge $9.57 billion in March 2026	In the first 70 trading days of 2026, FPI selling has been ₹1.02 trillion, which may worsen in the rest of March
USDINR closes the week at all-time low of ₹93.69/$ on selling pressure	The Rupee is being hit by the double whammy of rising oil prices and escalating FPI outflows in March 2026
In a truncated week, India will put out its IIP numbers on Friday	Feb IIP growth, including manufacturing IIP, is likely to taper from 4.8% in Jan-26, in tandem with core sector
With FOMC holding status quo on rates, Fed speeches will be in focus	The coming week will see Fed Speeches by Vice Chair, Michael Barr, and also by Mary Daly on rate outlook
IPO of (CMPDI) to close and 3 IPOs to open for subscription next week	IPOs of Aeroplane Basmati, Powerica, and Sai Parenteral to raise total of ₹1,949 crore between them
Nifty S/R at (23,006/23,284); Sensex S/R (74,183/75,085) for next week	Crucial levels for change in Short View will be 23,595 for Nifty and 76,116 for Sensex; with Longs only above that
Key data points from US markets to be keenly watched this week	Construction Spends, Composite PMI, Current Account, API Crude Stocks, Retail Inventories, Jobless Claims
Key data points from ROW markets to be keenly watched this week	PMI, Lagarde Speak (EU); BOJ Monthly, CPI, PMI BOJ Policy Minutes (Japan); PMI, CPI, PPI Retail Sales (UK)

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Disclaimer: This content is for general information and education only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

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