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Weekly Market Triggers — for the upcoming week (21st Sep - 25th Sep 2026)
Research Desk20 September 20263 min read
Nifty -0.22% down, Sensex -0.65% lower, for the week ending 18-Sep. This was the sixth consecutive week of negative returns on frontline indices, with macro risks still elevated. Mid-cap index -0.01%…
Triggers for the Week and How They May Impact Markets
| Trigger for the Week | How will it impact? |
|---|---|
| Nifty -0.22% down, Sensex -0.65% lower, for the week ending 18-Sep | This was the sixth consecutive week of negative returns on frontline indices, with macro risks still elevated |
| Mid-cap index -0.01% lower; small cap index -0.15% down this week | With the sharp rally in recent weeks, small and mid-caps are likely to witness selling pressure at higher levels |
| Key Dividend record dates (RD) occurring in the coming week | Bajaj Holdings, Dixon Tech, BDL, SPIC, Maha Scooters, IRCTC, NLC India, BEML, GMDC, Premier Explosives, EIL |
| Tata group will be in focus next week after the AGM deadlock | The next moves of Noel Tata and the board of Tata Sons and Tata Trusts will be closely watched by markets |
| USDINR will be in focus amid rising pressure on the Indian rupee | Even as the FCNR(B) tailwind is done, focus shifts back to rising crude prices and the geopolitical risk in the Gulf |
| Crude prices may get relief on hopes of truce in the Middle East | With Iran sending out its 7 conditions to the US for talks, through Qatar, there are hopes of oil movement again |
| Core sector growth for August to be announced on Monday, 21-Sept | After reporting 5.4% in July, the August core sector growth could face pressure from hydrocarbons output |
| Forex reserves update to be put out by RBI on Friday, 25-September | It is expected that the last round swaps and AD bank reporting should push reserves closer to $800 billion |
| Fed speak will be in focus this week after the 25-bps rate hike by FOMC | Key Fed speeches this week include; Austan Goolsbee, John Williams, Phil Jefferson, Tom Barkin, Machael Barr |
| NSE IPO closing on Monday to be in focus as well as its listing returns | With 1.16X subscribed after Day-2, QIB and HNI portion depend on last day flows; with listing slated on Thursday |
| Six IPOs to list; and 6 IPOs to raise over ₹3,825 crore next week | Varmora (₹708 cr), ArMee (₹300 cr), Swastika (₹161 cr), Elevate (₹2,100 cr), Adroit (₹151 cr), A-1 Steel (₹405 cr) |
| Nifty S/R at (23,292/23,395); Sensex S/R (74,150/74,584) for next week | Crucial levels for change in Short View will be 23,404 for Nifty and 74,929 for Sensex; with longs only above that |
| Key data points from US markets to be keenly watched next week # | API stocks, Current Account, New Home Sales, Building Permits, Jobless Claims, Fed Balance Sheet, GCPMI |
| Key data points from ROW markets to be keenly watched next week # | ECB Speak, PMI (EU); Services PMI (JP); Composite PMI, Bank of England Member Speak (UK); PBOC-LPR (CN) |
Abbreviations
GCPMI – Global Composite Purchase Manager Index · PBOC-LPR – People’s Bank of China Loan Prime Rate \|
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