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Weekly Market Triggers — for the upcoming week (27th April to 01st May)
Research Desk25 April 20262 min read
Nifty -1.45% down, Sensex -2.33% lower, for the week ending 24-Apr. The weakness got accentuated due to the uncertainty over US-Iran talks and sharp rally in crude oil prices. Mid-cap index -0.87%…
Triggers for the Week and How They May Impact Markets
| Trigger for the Week | How will it impact? |
|---|---|
| Nifty -1.45% down, Sensex -2.33% lower, for the week ending 24-Apr | The weakness got accentuated due to the uncertainty over US-Iran talks and sharp rally in crude oil prices |
| Mid-cap index -0.87% lower; small cap index +0.01% up this week | Smaller stocks held up better and even in the coming week, they are likely to be less vulnerable to macro risks |
| Key Dividend and Bonus / Split RD falling in the coming week | 360-One WAM, ABB India, Stovec, Vesuvius (Dividend RD); Invesco Gold ETF, Sanmit Infra (Bonus/Split) |
| Large Cap Q4 and fiscal FY26 results to be announced in coming week | Ultratech, CIL, Varun, Maruti, Eternal, BFIN, HUL, Adani Power, APSEZ, Bajaj Finserv, Adani Enterprises, JSL |
| Mid Cap Q4 and fiscal FY26 results to be announced in coming week | AU SFB, SBI Cards, GRSE, Dalmia Bharat, Waaree, IOB, Federal Bank, Mphasis, Navin Fluorine, NALCO, Laurus |
| MOSPI to announce IIP growth for March and for FY26 on 28-April | From a high of 5.2% in February, the IIP is likely to fall by over 100 bps in sync with the sharp fall in core sector |
| CGA to publish monthly fiscal deficit update for financial year FY26 | It remains to be seen if the fiscal deficit has been held at 4.4%, although pressure may show up more in FY27 |
| FOMC meet on 29-April expected to keep Fed rates static at 3.75% | Focus would be less on rate action and more on the Fed statement; where rate trajectory will be announced |
| Core PCE Inflation and US Q1 GDP to be announced during the week | While GDP may continue to face an impact in Q1, the March PCE inflation likely to spike in tandem with US CPI |
| USDINR and FPI flows will be in focus next week amid Iran story | With uncertainty at Straits of Hormuz, rupee may fall to new lows, even as FPIs are likely to stay light on India |
| Brent Crude to be in focus after the 16.5% rally in oil prices last week | While talks are on, markets are worried as both the US and Iran are claiming control over the Straits of Hormuz |
| Nifty S/R at (23,739/24,131); Sensex S/R (76,153/77,460) for next week | Crucial levels for change in Short View will be 24,379 for Nifty and 78,306 for Sensex; with Longs only above that |
| Key data points from US markets to be keenly watched next week | API Crude Stocks, Building Permits, Durable Goods Orders, Housing Starts, Jobless Claims, Personal Spends |
| Key data points from ROW markets to be keenly watched next week | CPI, GDP, ECB Rates (EU); BOJ Policy, CPI, IIP (JP); BOE Rate Decision, MPC Minutes (UK); Composite PMI (CN) |
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