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Weekly Market Triggers — for the upcoming week (13th April to 17th April)
Research Desk11 April 20262 min read
Nifty +5.89% up, Sensex +5.77% higher, for the week ending 10-Apr. The bounce was on hopes of truce in the Middle East and upcoming high-level talks in Islamabad. Mid-cap index +7.76% higher; small cap…
Triggers for the Week and How They May Impact Markets
| Trigger for the Week | How will it impact? |
|---|---|
| Nifty +5.89% up, Sensex +5.77% higher, for the week ending 10-Apr | The bounce was on hopes of truce in the Middle East and upcoming high-level talks in Islamabad |
| Mid-cap index +7.76% higher; small cap index +7.60% up this week | Like the large caps, the smaller stocks also saw a surge, but the truce has to sustain for prices to sustain higher |
| Key Dividend and AGM/EGM record dates falling in the coming week | Muthoot Finance (Dividend RD); Bajaj Housing, TN Petro, Rallis, IDFC Bank, CRISIL, Atul Auto, Waaree (AGM/EGM) |
| Large Cap Q4 and fiscal FY26 results to be announced in coming week | ICICI Pru AMC, ICICI Pru Life, HDB Financial, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, ICICI Lombard, Wipro, HDFC Life, HDFC AMC |
| Mid Cap Q4 and fiscal FY26 results to be announced in coming week | Just Dial, Nuvoco Vistas, Anand Rathi Stocks, Tejas Networks, CRISIL, Angel One, VST Industries, Yes Bank |
| MOSPI to announce the CPI inflation for March next week | From a level of 3.21% in February, CPI inflation is expected to move above 3.5% due to the Iran war effect |
| Trade deficit data for March and FY26 to be announced this week | With a spike in oil and gas prices, the trade deficit is expected to widen from $27.10 billion to over $33 billion |
| WPI inflation data for March to be also put out in the coming week | There is expectation of a spike of more than 100 bps in WPI inflation for March indicating a surge in input prices |
| With Fed minutes tentative and CPI up 90 bps, focus is on FOMC Speak | Key FOMC members speak; Michael Barr, Michelle Bowman, John Williams, Mary Daly, and Chris Waller |
| Rupee will be in focus after it showed late weakness to ₹93.09/$ | Rupee remained strong but concerns over the truce and the talks outcome may keep pressure on the rupee |
| Crude fell sharply to $95/bbl after Iran allowed access to Hormuz | However, a lot will depend on the truce commitment and the outcome of the talks in Islamabad this weekend |
| Nifty S/R at (23,913/24,131); Sensex S/R (77,060/77,831) for next week | Crucial levels for change in Long View will be 23,474 for Nifty and 75,595 for Sensex; with Shorts only below that |
| Key data points from US markets to be keenly watched this week | Home Sales, PPI, API Crude Stocks, Biege Book, Jobless Claims, Industrial Production, IEA Monthly Report |
| Key data points from ROW markets to be keenly watched this week | IIP, CPI, Trade Balance (EU); IIP (Japan); BOE Speak, GDP, IIP, Trade Deficit (UK); New Loans, Trade, GDP (China) |
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