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Weekly Market Triggers — for the upcoming week (05th-09th October 2026)
Research Desk3 October 20262 min read
Nifty -3.11% down, Sensex -2.69% lower, for the week ending 02-Oct. Even as crude and rupee weakness pressured markets, Sensex touching 28-month low will impact sentiments. Mid-cap index -3.57% lower;…
Triggers for the Week and How They May Impact Markets
| Trigger for the Week | How will it impact? |
|---|---|
| Nifty -3.11% down, Sensex -2.69% lower, for the week ending 02-Oct | Even as crude and rupee weakness pressured markets, Sensex touching 28-month low will impact sentiments |
| Mid-cap index -3.57% lower; small cap index -3.33% down this week | The macro pressure is also impacting smaller stocks as global investors are rapidly shifting out of India |
| HDFC Bank and Kotak Bank to be in focus with new CEOs on board | As Anup Bagchi and Anup Saha take over at HDFC Bank and Kotak Bank; the big challenge is a sentiment shift |
| Market focus will also be on the Tata group on Tata Sons revamp | Apart from the impact, markets will also watch how the next steps, board approvals and RBI NOC come through |
| USDINR to be in focus as FPIs sell ₹27,962 crore of equities this week | The $3 billion FPI selling weakened the rupee to ₹96.4/$, and US bond yields will be an added headwind for INR |
| Brent Crude tapers to $102.30/bbl as the oil supply situation eases # | Reopening East-West pipeline in Saudi Arabia is positive, but big drawdowns in SPRs are still a concern globally |
| Quarterly results for second quarter of FY27 to commence this week | Key results; TCS, Anand Rathi Wealth, CanFin Homes, Canara Robeco AMC, Poonawalla, ARCIL, Steamhouse |
| Key corporate actions with RD next week; Dividends, Bonus, Splits | NMDC, PTC India (Dividend RD); Mold-Tek Pack (Bonus RD); BLS E-Services, Shankara Building (Stock Split RD) |
| RBI to announce monetary policy on 07-Oct after 3-day MPC meet | There is almost consensus that RBI MPC will hike rates by 25 bps to 5.50%, with one more hike likely in Dec-26 |
| US Fed to release FOMC minutes of September meet on 07-October | With the Fed having hiked rates by 25 bps, the focus will be on the actual debate to get trajectory of future rates |
| Eight IPOs to list next week; no fresh IPO openings are expected | With IPOs raising ₹1.13 trillion in 2026 so far; focus shifts to big upcoming IPOs; Jio Info, Zepto, Phone Pe, Flipkart |
| Nifty S/R at (22,223/22,616); Sensex S/R (71,277/72,557) for next week | Crucial levels for change in Short View will be 22,653 for Nifty and 72,716 for Sensex; with longs only above that |
| Key data points from US markets to be keenly watched next week # | Trade Deficit, FOMC Speak, Consumer Credit, Jobless Claims, Atlanta Fed GDP, Oil Inventories, Energy Outlook |
| Key data points from ROW markets to be keenly watched next week # | PMI, ECB Minutes (EU); Mortgage Rate, HPI, BOECCS (UK) Household Spends, Current Account Surplus (JP) |
Abbreviations
FOMC: Federal Open Markets Committee · BOECCS: Bank of England Credit Conditions Survey · SPR: Strategic Petroleum Reserves
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