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Weekly Update Market Trigger

Weekly Market Triggers: What Will Drive Nifty, Rupee, Fed & IPOs This Week

Stay ahead this week with all major market-moving triggers — RBI’s rate cut, Fed policy expectations, rupee-dollar trends, inflation data, bond yields, crude oil outlook, and an active IPO calendar. A concise, actionable preview of everything that could impact Nifty, Sensex, and sector sentiment.

3 min read   |   08-Dec-2025   |   Last Updated: 08 Dec 2025
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Written by: SERNET Research Team

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Table of Content

Weekly Trigger (Dec 08 – Dec 12) and its impact

        Trigger for the Week          How will it impact? 
   
  • Nifty -0.06% down, Sensex +0.01% higher for the week ended 05-Dec 
  • Markets were cautious through the week, but showed a late recovery ahead of RBI policy, which should sustain 

 
  • Mid-cap index -0.73% lower; small cap index -1.80% down this week 
  • For now, the investor interest is likely to be focused more on the large caps, and less on smaller stocks 

 
  • Key corporate actions with record date in the coming week to 12-Dec 
  • Bharat Rasayan (Bonus); Bectors, Bharat Rasayan (Stock Split); Modison, Steel City Securities (Dividends)  

 
  • Dual macro boost to equity markets from the RBI monetary policy 
  • Markets are expected to react positively next week to the RBI 25 bps rate cut plus the liquidity infusion 

 
  • All eyes to be focused on the Rupee Dollar equation in the coming week 
  • Rupee close at ₹89.95/$ was because RBI sold dollars at ₹90.46/$ levels, hinting at further rupee pressure 

 
  • MOSPI to announce CPI inflation for November 2025 next week 
  • After touching a low of 0.25% in October, the base effect is expected to marginally prop up November inflation 

 
  • Fed to put out December monetary policy statement next week 
  • There is a strong expectation of a 25-bps rate cut, in a bid to correct the jobs / growth imbalance in the US 

 
  • FOMC to also put out its quarterly projection of macros in December 
  • Markets will be keen to evaluate changes to inflation, GDP growth, and rate expectations in next 2 years 

 
  • India bond yields will be in focus next week, after policy rate cut 
  • While the rate cuts should have reduced bond yields, the higher deficit expectations kept yields above 6.5% 

 
  • Brent Crude holds up on static OPEC supply, but glut concerns stay 
  • IEA has projected a potential oversupply of 4 million bpd through next year, despite a 15% price fall since Jan-25 

 
  • Four IPOs to open for subscription this week; 3 IPOs to list this week 
  • Corona Remedies, Wakefit, Park Medi, Nephrocare IPOs to raise ₹3,735 crore; Meesho, Aequs, Vidya Wires to list 

 
  • Nifty S/R at (26,047/26,264); Sensex S/R (85,261/85,980) for next week 
  • Crucial levels for change in Long View will be 25,902 for Nifty and 84,810 for Sensex; with Shorts only below that 

 
  • Key data points from US markets to be keenly watched this week 
  • Factory Orders, Consumer Inflation Expectations, non-farm productivity, WASDE report, JOLTS, API Stocks 

 
  • Key data points from ROW markets to be keenly watched this week 
  • Lagarde Speak (EU); GDP, Current Account, IIP (Japan); MPC Speak, GDP, IIP (UK); Trade, CPI, New Loans (China) 

 

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